Trump’s actual chances of winning in 2024, according to an expert

It seems safe to say that the 2020 presidential election did not turn out the way that President Donald Trump wanted. Since Election Day, Trump has spent his days tweeting about how he didn’t actually lose the election, and if he did, it’s because it was “rigged.” Trump has attempted to mount legal challenges in states like Pennsylvania and Georgia, while Trump’s personal lawyer (and the last person in the world to discover Borat) Rudy Giuliani has spent his days claiming without evidence that the election was rigged.

Trump’s tactics are unlikely to earn him any new supporters, nor are they likely to actually change the outcome of the election. President-elect Joe Biden will take the oath of office on Jan. 20, 2021, and his administration will begin. However, as Trump has only served one term, it is possible for him to run again in 2024. This possibility is not lost on the president, who, according to The New York Times, is considering announcing his run upon leaving the White House in January 2020.

If Trump did announce a candidacy for 2024, would he actually stand a chance of winning? Here’s what political and corporate advisor Dr. Reneé Carr had to say about it.

With Donald Trump involved, anything could happen

Only one president, Grover Cleveland, has been voted out of office and then gone on to serve another term, but Dr. Reneé Carr told The List that President Donald Trump has a not-insignificant chance of becoming the second. “Trump will continue to stoke the emotions and energy of his loyal voter base through claims of election fraud,” Carr said, adding that repeating claims of a stolen election could be effective. “By his continued accusations of the election being ‘stolen’ from him, this prevents psychological closure of the election for both himself and those who voted for him,” Carr explained, saying it could “intensify his voters’ loyalty.”

That being said, the next four years are an open book, and the country has no idea what the political climate of 2024 might look like. Carr projected that “if President-elect Biden can provide significant economic recovery to America — especially to families of auto industry workers and other blue-collar occupations — as well as provide meaningful and immediate tax cuts for small businesses” it could “greatly decrease Trump’s chances of being reelected.” If Americans have learned anything over the course of Trump’s presidency, it’s to expect the unexpected. Since, as of this writing, Biden’s term hasn’t even started yet, all Americans can do is take it one day at a time.

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